Food

How Food Businesses Can Stay Ahead During Dairy Price Fluctuations

At a Glance:

  • Reduce dairy waste and costs by improving storage and stock rotation.
  • Rework or replace low-margin, dairy-heavy menu items during price hikes.
  • Justify price changes by highlighting quality, sourcing, and local support.
  • Strengthen supplier relationships for more stable pricing and priority access.
  • Track dairy market trends to plan ahead and adapt quickly.

Fluctuating dairy prices can put pressure on cafes, restaurants, and food retailers across the country. Even small price shifts can significantly impact profit margins, especially for businesses that rely heavily on dairy.

However, navigating this volatility doesn’t mean you have to sacrifice quality or lose customers. You can’t control the dairy prices, but you can control how your company responds to them. The key is to adopt proactive, practical strategies that help you stay resilient in the unstable market.

This guide will walk you through a forward-thinking approach to managing dairy price fluctuations and keeping your business ahead.

Streamline Storage and Reduce Waste

First, you can start by streamlining your product storage and reducing dairy waste in your commercial kitchen. Dairy products are highly perishable, and any inefficiency in the cold chain, from delivery to storage, can result in unnecessary waste. According to the Food Safety Standards, dairy items like milk, butter, yogurt, or cheese require strict temperature control of 5°C or colder. Even short exposure to higher temperatures can risk spoilage. In a high-cost environment, this translates directly into lost profit, especially when you buy in bulk.

For food operators, minimising this waste can yield meaningful cost savings and improve sustainability outcomes in times of dairy price fluctuations. You can perform weekly waste audits to identify which products are frequently expiring or being discarded. Then adjust ordering practices or retrain staff on stock rotation procedures. Similarly, practice FIFO (First-In, First-Out) methods in commercial fridges and freezers to minimise waste. Food businesses should also clearly label the expiration dates of dairy products to minimise waste.

Optimise Menu or Product Mix

When dairy prices surge, businesses must examine how those costs affect their menu or product line. High-cost ingredients can dramatically affect margins if left unchecked. For instance, eateries using products that rely heavily on ingredients like natural cheese slices may see their profits drop fast when dairy prices rise, forcing them to change prices, recipes or strategies.

So, observe the sales of your food service business. If the sales volume of dairy-based items slows when you raise the menu price to match the dairy price hike, it may be an opportunity to upsell a new category or shift towards specialty products with higher perceived value. In some cases, creative substitution can also help maintain quality while still meeting brand standards.

Another key tactic could be promoting lower-cost ingredients or seasonal alternatives. To redirect customer attention, you can redesign specials or short-run items based on locally abundant ingredients.

As a result, by optimising the menu for rising dairy costs, you can identify low-margin, dairy-heavy items that may no longer make financial sense and evaluate whether these can be reworked or replaced.

Communicate Value to Customers

Rising dairy prices might mean you need to increase costs on your menu or product range. But this strategy doesn’t have to turn customers away. Rather than hiding the change, use it as a chance to reinforce what makes your brand worth choosing. Remember, price changes are much easier for customers to accept when they understand the value behind the product.

Storytelling plays a powerful role here. You can highlight the quality and sourcing to justify pricing and support brand positioning. Some businesses are even using in-store signage, menu notes, or social media to explain where their dairy comes from and why they’ve chosen it.

Having said that, food businesses should frame any price adjustments in terms of quality, not profit. Customers should feel they’re paying for better taste, ethical choices, and product consistency, and not just helping you offset costs. Instead of just saying prices have gone up, you may say you’re committed to maintaining high standards and supporting Australian producers.

Build Strong Supplier Relationships

Price spikes and supply shortages in the dairy sector often hit hardest when the supplier relationship is weak or purely transactional. Businesses that rely on spot purchasing or short-term arrangements are more vulnerable to being outbid or left behind when markets tighten.

Conversely, companies that invest in long-term, trust-based relationships with dairy suppliers may benefit from priority access even during periods of disruption.

Therefore, look for wholesale dairy suppliers who can consistently meet your volume and timing requirements without compromising product integrity. Food businesses can also regularly review their supplier performance quarterly, which helps ensure standards are being met and provides opportunities for mutual improvement.

Monitor Market Trends and Forecasts

Price surges often follow predictable signals, such as reduced milk production, export pressure, extreme weather, or rising feed costs. To stay ahead of pricing cycles, food businesses must regularly incorporate dairy market monitoring into their planning process.

By monitoring dairy market trends and data, businesses can spot early warning signs and adjust purchasing, pricing, or recipe planning accordingly.

To conclude, you can stay ahead of dairy price fluctuations by streamlining your storage, optimising your menu, clearly communicating value, monitoring dairy market trends, and building long-term supplier relationships.

You can start by partnering with a trusted food service cheese and dairy supplier.

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